Friday, February 24, 2017

Oscar Predictions 2017

Last year I decided not to do one of these posts, but then almost all my predictions were right, and you can't prove otherwise. Below I've listed the categories, candidates, who I suspect will win, and who I think ought to win out of the nominees provided. I'm way less certain about my picks this year. I'll check back with you all in a couple days to talk about how things go down.



BEST PICTURE

Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Moonlight



ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences

Will Win: Casey Affleck
Should Win: Casey Affleck



ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Will Win: Natalie Portman
Should Win: Isabelle Huppert



ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Will Win: Lucas Hedges
Should Win: Mahershala Ali



ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Will Win: Viola Davis
Should Win: Viola Davis



ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

Will Win: Moana
Should Win: Kubo and the Two Strings



CINEMATOGRAPHY

Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Arrival



COSTUME DESIGN

Allied
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie
La La Land

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Jackie



DIRECTING

Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Moonlight



DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)

Fire at Sea
I Am Not Your Negro
Life, Animated
O.J.: Made in America
13th

Will Win: O.J.: Made in America
Should Win: O.J.: Made in America



DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)

Extremis
4.1 Miles
Joe's Violin
Watani: My Homeland
The White Helmets

Will Win: The White Helmets
Should Win: N/A



FILM EDITING

Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Moonlight

Will Win: Moonlight
Should Win: Arrival



FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Land of Mine
A Man Called Ove
The Salesman
Tanna
Toni Erdmann

Will Win: Toni Erdmann
Should Win: Toni Erdmann



MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond
Suicide Squad

Will Win: Star Trek Beyond
Should Win: Star Trek Beyond



MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Passengers

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Jackie



MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

"Audition (The Fools Who Dream)" from La La Land
"Can't Stop the Feeling" from Trolls
"City of Stars" from La La Land
"The Empty Chair" from Jim: The James Foley Story
"How Far I'll Go" from Moana

Will Win: "City of Stars"
Should Win: "Audition (The Fools Who Dream)"



PRODUCTION DESIGN

Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
Passengers

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Hail, Caesar!



SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

Blind Vaysha
Borrowed Time
Pear Cider and Cigarettes
Pearl
Piper

Will Win: Piper
Should Win: Pearl



SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

Ennemis Intérieurs
La Femme et le TGV
Silent Nights
Sing
Timecode

Will Win: Sing
Should Win: N/A



SOUND EDITING

Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Sully

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Arrival



SOUND MIXING

Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Arrival



VISUAL EFFECTS

Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Will Win: The Jungle Book
Should Win: Kubo and the Two Strings



WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight

Will Win: Moonlight
Should Win: Arrival



WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea
20th Century Women

Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: The Lobster

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